公定歩合を0.75%引き下げ4.00%にすることを決定。
以下引用
The Federal Open Market Committee has decided to lower its target for the federal funds rate 75 basis points to 3-1/2 percent.
The Committee took this action in view of a weakening of the economic outlook and increasing downside risks to growth. While strains in short-term funding markets have eased somewhat, broader financial market conditions have continued to deteriorate and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households. Moreover, incoming information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets.
The Committee expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters, but it will be necessary to continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.
Appreciable downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will continue to assess the effects of financial and other developments on economic prospects and will act in a timely manner as needed to address those risks.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Charles L. Evans; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Eric S. Rosengren; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against was William Poole, who did not believe that current conditions justified policy action before the regularly scheduled meeting next week. Absent and not voting was Frederic S. Mishkin.
In a related action, the Board of Governors approved a 75-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Chicago and Minneapolis.
▼ FOMC声明文
Incoming information suggests that economic growth is slowing, reflecting the intensification of the housing correction and some softening in business and consumer spending. Moreover, strains in financial markets have increased in recent weeks. Today’s action, combined with the policy actions taken earlier, should help promote moderate growth over time.
Readings on core inflation have improved modestly this year, but elevated energy and commodity prices, among other factors, may put upward pressure on inflation. In this context, the Committee judges that some inflation risks remain, and it will continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.
Recent developments, including the deterioration in financial market conditions, have increased the uncertainty surrounding the outlook for economic growth and inflation. The Committee will continue to assess the effects of financial and other developments on economic prospects and will act as needed to foster price stability and sustainable economic growth.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Charles L. Evans; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Frederic S. Mishkin; William Poole; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against was Eric S. Rosengren, who preferred to lower the target for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points at this meeting.
In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 25-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 4-3/4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, and St. Louis.
have increased the uncertainty surrounding the outlook for economic growth and inflation
(経済成長とインフレの見通しに不透明性を高めている)
とのことから次回利下げの可能性がある。
▼ FOMC政策金利
予想通り0.25%の利下げ、4.25%へ
これをうけて、ダウは前日比プラスからマイナスに!
現在、前日比-177
クロス円は大きく下げている(株安→円買い)。
株安の理由は
0.25%の利下げは織り込み済みであり0.5%の利下げ観測が3割〜4割あった
また、FOMC政策金利が仮に0.25%の利下げとしても公定歩合が0.5%引き下げするとの見方があったが0.25%の引き下に終わったからである。
FOMC政策金利の利下げ観測からダウは上昇。
今日注目なのは
28:15 FOMC政策金利
です。
予想の大半は0.25%利下げの4.25%です。
ポン円は、短期的には上昇相場ですが
中期的にはまだ揉み合い相場です。
229.50が超えられるかに注目です。
229.30手前付近でショート。
229.50超えでロング。
MJのスプレッドがすごいです。
今日、見ていましたが
ポン円が3銭から5銭くらいでした。
また、今月中旬からレバレッジ400倍が導入されるようです。
指標発表時以外の時間帯のトレードならオススメです。
指標発表時にスプレッドが大きく広がらなければ完璧なのに・・・
▼ ポン円
ブレイクを狙いたいですが
とりあえずは手前でショートして見ようかと思っています。
ダウは4日続伸でした。
▼ 昨日のポン円!
昨日のポン円の乱高下はすごかったですね。
BOE四半期インフレ報告において、来年の利下げを示唆したことから大きく下げましたがその後、上昇しました。
そして、ダウが寄り付くと株価に連動した動きとなり結局は下落で終わりました。
ダウの方はというと寄り付きが高かったものの結局は前日比マイナスで終わりました。
今日は、わずかに買いが先行しNY時間前までは前日比プラスで推移すると思いますが
結局は株価に連動した動きになると思います。
▼ ポン円下落!!
BOE総裁がGDPが来年、急低下すると発言したことを受け下落しています。



















